As of 5:40 pm EST 10.29.11 the edge of the precipitation shield was in the southern part of Falmouth and steadily moving N. The winds were calm.
The snow accumulation forecasts have again gone down to 6-10″ at the coast.
The wind predictions have risen to sustained @ 45 gusting to 60mph
Stay tuned
-Jack
As of quarter to 5 the precip. has reached portland ME and at Wells BEACH it is snowing, showing that the snow is working it’s way toward the coast.
Also just issued by the NWS a HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WATERS IN THE MID TO OUTER GULF OF MAINE this means that winds winds of 75 mph or greater will affect the waters there.
All other forecasts have not changed.
Stay tuned
-Jack
The storm is now starting cyclogenisis and should be rapidly strenthening soon.
The precip. shield is now approaching OOB (Old Orchard Beach)
Stay tuned
-Jack
The rain/snow line is slowly moving eastward and will continue to do so as time goes on. The snow totals have been adjusted downwards due to temperature changes in the lower atmosphere and my total forecast now stands at 6-10″. The wind forecast has been altered too and my forecast stands at sustained winds of 30-40mph with gusts approaching 60 mph.
Stay tuned
-Jack
As of 2:30 pm EDT 10.29.11 here are some snow forecasts
FORECASTS
Forecasts are measured in inches
Hartford CT 8-12
Portland ME 8-12
Concord NH 8-12
Worcester MA 8-12
Boston MA 3-5
Poughkeepsie NY 9-13
Stay tuned
-Jack
The blob off the east coast is the nor’easter forming, as you can probably tell it has not undergone cyclogenisis.
97L and 98L are also visible in the W Caribbean and off the Azores respectively.
The storm we have been tracking the last few days has formed and could undergo rapid intensification at any time. The edge of the main precipitation shield is just north of Boston and moving towards us slowly but steadily. The precipitation will be rain for a little bit this evening but will have no trouble changing to snow tonight. The snow will be increasing in intensity and coverage as cyclogenisis occurs with the low. The storm will peak at around 7 am Sunday and start to wane after that.
Stay tuned as I will be posting updates as I can.
-Jack
Busy sat map with a developing gale off of Florida that is trekking north to meet with a trof near VA. Also in the picture is 97L in the W Caribbean and a few powerful extratropical lows in Canada.
Stay Tuned
-Jack
The powerful nor’easter slated to hit tonight just got a whole lot bigger with totals of a foot or more potentially at the coast.
The storm will undergo a series of cycles that delivers a monster storm. The track has shifted farther east so the heaviest snow will be at the coast.
As the storm undergoes cyclogenisis (the rapid deepening of a low) the snow bands will be on the increase dumping a foot or more at the coast.
Winds will be a MAJOR THREAT when 60-80 mph gusts sweep through.
This is a powerful and dangerous storm so take EXTREME CAUTION when driving ( if they don’t shut down the roads) and also walking could be hazardous as well.
Stay tuned!
-JAck
As of 7 the totals are decreasing and now 3-5 inches along the coast are expected with near a foot inland.
This change is because of a slight shift in track. By slight I mean about 5 miles to the west.
The inversion should align to provide a layer of warm air aloft that should, potentially bring a period of freezing rain to the immediate coast Saturday evening. This will make for hazardous walking conditions sunday morning as a layer of ice is covered by snow. The storm track changed in the last 1/2 hour and the forecast changed as a result. The track and forecast will likely change again so stay tuned for updates.
Stay Tuned
-Jack
Forecasterjack 