Hello everyone!

Today will feature mainly cloudy skies, warm temps, and gusty winds. Highs will rise into the mid to upper 50’s south and upper 40’s to low 50’s north. SW winds will be gusty today at times gusting to near 40 mph. A shower or two is possible this afternoon with the greatest threat being up north.

Here’s a quick look into wind forecasting. The yellow line marks the mixing layer. Any air below the yellow line is eligible to make it to the surface. The air at the top of the mixing layer this afternoon is moving at about 40 knots. Being in the mixing layer, this air (wind) could very well make it to the surface. A raw estimate using just this method indicates gusts to between 40 and 50 mph today. However, it’s hard to get full wind potential when the wind has been travelling over mountains and trees and buildings for the last thousand miles. Therefore, the forecast calls for 35-40 mph gusts.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Today will feature lovely conditions region wide with sunny skies, lighter winds, and warm temps. Look for highs in the 50’s north and low 60’s south. Some high clouds will move in from the west this evening but other than that, bluebird conditions are expected today.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Today will feature vastly different conditions depending on location and elevation. The high terrain of the north country is looking at 4-8″ of upslope snow today. The lower terrain of the north country is looking at 2-4″. Meanwhile closer to Portland, clearing skies and temps near 50 are in store. Your weather today will be scaled based on how close you are to these areas. Closer to the mountains but not quite a Jackman resident? Flurries and 30’s with mainly cloudy skies. The same works the closer you get to the coast. The one thing everyone will have in common will be the winds. Winds gusting over 40mph are likely across the region. This will mostly be a nuisance but an isolated power outage or two is always possible.

Milder late week.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Today will remind you just how lovely early Spring is in the great state of Maine. Low pressure will be moving both to our east and to our west leaving us with not one but two storms to bring nasty conditions. Rain will overspread the region between 8 and 10 AM south to north and will be moderate to heavy throughout the afternoon and into the evening hours. Temps will rise from the low 30’s to the upper 30’s and maybe even a few lower 40’s. Temps this morning may be just low enough inland to see some freezing rain but it should be short lived. Do keep that in mind though if travelling before noon, things could be a little slick, especially at higher elevations. Winds will intensify as well out of the NE making today nasty all around weather wise. To top it all off? Cold air crashes south tonight and by tomorrow morning, many could see snow on the ground, especially north. Gusty winds also look to bring a fairly significant upslope event to the mountains with 3-6″ expected in the favored terrain tomorrow.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Today will be a lot like yesterday perhaps a bit cloudier though. Low level clouds have pushed to the bases of the mountains this morning leaving most of the area with cloudy/foggy conditions. These clouds will limit high temps to the 40’s for most with 50’s inland, also very similar to yesterday.

Rain arrives tomorrow.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Today will feature low clouds for most this morning as residual moisture from yesterday’s storm is slow to leave. Temps today will depend on how fast the clouds leave. For those who see things clear out quickest, temps will rise into the low to mid 50’s. This is most likely outside the mountains but away from the coast. The mountains and the coast likely see clouds clear out a little later and temps rising into the 40’s.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Cold air has blasted a bit farther south than expected and persistent freezing drizzle last night has created icy conditions region wide, including the coast. Winds are out of the north for everyone and everything will continue to be slick until those winds shift. Use caution this morning while driving to work/school. Many schools are either closed or delayed this morning so check with local media to see if you’ve been given a break today. Highs will depend hugely on if the cold can get scoured out. If it can, temps rise into the 40’s/low 50’s. If if can’t, we’re stuck at 32 all day. My bets are on the cold air sticking. Heavier precip moves in mid morning and could help to warm things up a bit but for now, I think temps for most away from the immediate coast are stuck near 32 until late this afternoon when a cold front can mix out the low level cold.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

A cold front yesterday has done its job well and cold air now lies in place across the region. Low pressure from the plains is moving across the Southern Great Lakes on its way to Maine. The forecast from last evening remains more or less on track. The forecast for today worked out great with light snow/sleet falling area wide with widespread coatings reported. Easterly and north-easterly winds will bring moisture in off the ocean tonight and as a result, drizzle and freezing drizzle will develop in patches area wide tonight which will result in slick conditions where temps are below 32F (Everywhere except southern York County).

Here’s the surface map showing  the setup. Look for drizzle/freezing drizzle tonight and early tomorrow followed by steady rain/freezing rain depending on location and surface temps. Temps aloft are quite toasty and thus snow will be isolated to far northern areas early tomorrow morning. The morning commute does look to be slippery as freezing rain and sleet create an icy layer on the roads. With ice accumulation remaining generally under a quarter inch, power disruptions are unlikely.

Here’s what I expect for impacts. I’ve moved more areas near the coast into the freezing rain zone as warm air will be hard pressed to scour out the cold in place. The greatest impacts will be inland but areas even near Route 1 are definitely at risk for slick travel tomorrow morning. While the immediate coastline will change to rain fairly quickly, the morning commute especially early is likely to feature slick spots. While this won’t be a high impact event, widespread slick travel is likely tomorrow for the morning commute everywhere and for the evening commute away from the immediate coastline.

Here’s how the HRRR thinks things go down tomorrow. WARNING: This model likely underestimates the sticking mower of cold air. While the immediate coastline likely does see the bulk of precip in the form of rain, most inland areas especially the mountain valleys are likely in for freezing rain through Friday evening.

Precip clears out Friday night leaving clearing for Saturday. A lovely weekend is ahead with a warming trend leading up to a likely rain event early week.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Cold air has been moving in on steady NE winds through the night and temps are now below freezing for all except southern York County. Radar is indicating light/showery precip moving across southern sections and light but steadier precip moving across northern areas. This pattern will continue today with southern areas (south of route two) seeing occasional flurries/sleet sprinkles and areas north of route two seeing light snow eventually changing to sleet this afternoon/evening. As I mentioned in my post last night, accumulations will be very light from this outside the mountains and a coating may even be generous for some areas near the coast. Highs today won’t move much as CAD becomes firmly established. Look for low to mid 30’s south and upper 20’s to low 30’s north. Winds will be noticeable out of the NE and will thus make things feel cooler than they are.

-Jack