Sorry for the late updates as there was so much data coming in I could hardly keep up. Anyway, not much has changed and I have come up with a couple maps depicting the impacts of this storm.

Snow Map

Precipitation type map
-Jack
Daily Archives: February 23, 2013
What a change…
What a change over the past few days! First we were looking at the potential for a foot of snow from a powerful ocean storm and now we are looking at 6″ from its wicked inverted trough. Remember that inverted or norlun trough from earlier this winter? They are impossible to predict where they will set up until they actually do set up. Now I am thinking it will set up right near Portland or maybe a little south. Either way, there should be snow breaking our today from “ocean effect” or lake effect snow but over the ocean. Ocean effect snow tends not to be as heavy as lake effect and that is what we will see today.
There is a developing low off the Carolina coast that is moving ENE. This low will skirt too far offshore to have too much of an effect. its norlun or inverted trough however will. This troughs are notoriously impossible to predict as we saw earlier this year. Right now my thoughts are that it will dump a sufficient amount (6″) to many across southern Maine. My snow map is below.

Snow map.
Check out my other two sites for town by town forecasts for the snow. Those will be updated with the 18z runs tonight. They can be found at the right of my page.
-Jack
Models agree now on only a very minor snow event for many
Models now agree this morning that the comination or phasing of these two storms will occur too far to the south and east to give us much snow. I expect a widespread 4-6″ from an inverted trough. Remember what happened with that last time? We all expected 8-12″ but we got 0. These things are absolutely impossible to predict so confidence is super low. Snow map coming with 12z models midday.
The area of low pressure will develop and move to the ESE today into tonight. It will then rapidly deepen South of the Maritimes. The inverted or norlun trough will hang around behind giving us minimal snow. Check back later for the snow map.
-Jack