Quick update on the tropics

Our main disturbance 97L has improved its looks with more symmetrical and has developed a more concentrated LLC. With regard to other disturbances, 98L near Africa has faded due to an unusually large burst of dry air from the Saharan desert. Meanwhile over near the Yucatan, thunderstorm activity has increased marginally in association with a tropical wave currently over land. This disturbance is expected to move over the far southern reaches of the Gulf of Mexico in the next day or 2. There is a slight chance of development over this area. This will be somewhat like that happened to Franklin if it develops.

97L

97L5

This image shows how 97L has built a small amount more in terms of convection. Also, its convection has become more organized. the red lines indicate spiral bands that could be forming. The black circle indicates where a LLC might be.

98L

The SAL has removed a good part of its heavy thunderstorms so the chances of development have significantly diminished.

AOI 1

The AOI is over land so development is postponed until tomorrow at the earliest. I do not expect any development as the models have their doubts and its not particularly well organized.

This is basically what has changed over the day today.

My next update will be in the next few days.

-Jack

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