Hello everyone!

This morning at around 7 am, our storm made landfall so to speak on the west coast and at 8 am, dozen of weather balloons monitored its every move. Huge super computers all around the world crunched the numbers and at around 11, we weather geeks got to see the results.

The general consensus was a tad farther north with the low. What this means, is that we now have to worry about mixing with or changing to sleet or maybe even rain along coastal York and Cumberland counties.

Another implication of the shift north is that the axis of the heaviest precipitation shifts farther north into our area. This means that southern areas will see extremely heavy precip Wednesday night. Northern areas will see a steadier precip with no dry slot implications. Northern areas will also see all snow.

Winds will also be an issue if the storm tracks farther north as we will be closer to the center of the storm as well as the strongest winds. Winds will gust over 30 mph at times which could cause blizzard conditions. Blizzard may be overused in this event but it sure will look like one Wednesday night.

For a storm to be officially a blizzard, winds must be 35 mph+ and blowing or falling snow must cause visibilities to fall below 1/4 mile. All of this must occur for 3 hours straight.

With regards to amounts, a solid 10-16″ can be expected with amounts close to 20 inches across ski country and 8 or 9″ amounts over far southern York County. I will have a snow map out tomorrow.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Today will feature partly cloudy skies and warm temps as we rise into the mid 30’s region-wide. Winds will blow out of the NW at 5-10 mph so while it will not be calm, it will not be windy.

Tonight, another disturbance moves though bringing a general 1-3″ of snow to the area with the highest amounts int the mountains. 40’s and sun return tomorrow.

I will have a full update on the storm upon my arrival in Montreal this afternoon as the disturbance moved onshore in the past hour or two. Models that come out at 11 today will have a much better idea of what will happen.

-Jack