Snow tonight, warm again tomorrow

Hello everyone!

Today will feature partly cloudy skies and warm temps as we rise into the mid 30’s region-wide. Winds will blow out of the NW at 5-10 mph so while it will not be calm, it will not be windy.

Tonight, another disturbance moves though bringing a general 1-3″ of snow to the area with the highest amounts int the mountains. 40’s and sun return tomorrow.

I will have a full update on the storm upon my arrival in Montreal this afternoon as the disturbance moved onshore in the past hour or two. Models that come out at 11 today will have a much better idea of what will happen.

-Jack

Warm continues, storm on the horizon

Hello everyone!

Today will feature  pleasant conditions with sunny skies and warm temps. Highs today will get into the mid to upper 30’s. In addition, expect light winds as we are under a ridge of high pressure that will be one of the ingredients for our storm.

This high will shift NE into Canada and park itself there for the next few days. This will push a clipper system to our south Monday into Tuesday. This weak system will be the focus for a few snow showers or maybe even a period of light snow.

Come Wednesday, our next storm will be taking shape over the Ohio valley. It will track NE towards us but its exact track is still uncertain. There are 3 basic scenarios as with every storm and I will break down each one and where my money is so to speak.

Scenario 1: The storm takes a more northerly track over Boston. This brings a major storm but there would be periods of mix and rain across the coastal plain as well as the foothills. I believe the high in Quebec will be enough to keep this from happening but it’s certainly a possibility.

Scenario 2: The storm takes a track over or just SE of Nantucket. This brings a major storm in the form of all snow. The exception could be over York county at the start of the storm as warm air will be in place Wednesday night ahead of the storm. I believe this is the most likely scenario based on the upper air pattern as well as the predicted positioning of surface systems. There is still room for this to change as we are still 4 days out.

Scenario 3: The storm takes a more easterly track out to sea. this brings another sunny but cool day across the region. This seems plausible but it would result in the upper air trough over the west not picking up on a huge piece of energy which I think is unlikely. Another way this could happen is if the trough is positively tilted or looks like this “/” rather than this “\”.

After the storm, winter like conditions set back in with temps again running 10-15 degrees below normal.

I will be travelling to Canada for a few days this week so while I will do my best to post during that time, It may not be at the usual hour.

-Jack

Brief warm-up followed by more winter cold

Hello everyone!

Today will feature warmer temps with highs at the coast reaching the mid 30’s. Inland temps will get to about 30. Sunny skies and light winds will make for a lovely spring-like day.

Our warm-up gathers speed Saturday with temps nearing 40 at the coast and finally breaking freezing inland. Some great spring skiing is in store this weekend!

Sunday is a bit cooler and Monday and Tuesday will be cool but not cold. Arctic air reenters the picture Wednesday. As for precipitation, light snow is possible with a series of fronts Monday and Tuesday. The next opportunity for a storm arrives Thursday although uncertainty is still very high as t is 6 days out.

-Jack

 

Clear and cool

Hello everyone!

Today will feature clear skies and cool temps. Expect highs today to get up into the low 20’s at the coast and the upper 10’s in the mountains. Winds will pick up slightly out of the NW behind a storm to out southeast.

More of the same in the coming days with clear and cool conditions. I see little to no warming up in sight. In fact, all indications are that even colder temps return next week. No significant snow is in the forecast although some snow showers are possible tomorrow night.

-Jack

Light snow to start

Hello everyone!

Today will feature a nice warm start ahead of a cold front followed by some light snow which will not accumulate. Highs are occurring now with temps in the 20’s and 30’s. Winds pick up out of the NW and usher in cooler air for the afternoon and the next few days. No storms or notable precip is in the forecast.

-Jack

Winter storm misses to the south

Hello everyone!

We dodged a major bullet this weekend as a large winter storm will head out to sea to our south. We may see a few flurries or a short period of light snow tomorrow but accumulations will be very minimal. Highs will be in the 20’s today and tomorrow.

We will remain locked in the deep freeze through the end of the 7 day. There is a light at the end of the tunnel though, a warm up is in sight early next week there is lots of uncertainty, but another cold outbreak could follow it.

-Jack