Hello everyone!

Today will feature a chilly start with temps currently ranging through the 30’s for most of ME and NH with some 40’s along the coast, Temps warm up quickly though and by early afternoon highs in the upper 50’s to low or even mid 60’s are likely with the warmest temps in the south. Skies will be mainly sunny throughout the day today.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

Apologies for the lack of an update yesterday morning, the internet temporarily was unavailable at my place for a time but now we’re back up and running as we should be.

Looking towards the weather for today, we’ll have similar temperatures, ranging from the low to mid 50’s north to the low to mid 60’s south but there will alas be a few more clouds to deal with especially over northern areas who are in closer proximity to a passing disturbance. A few showers are also likely in the north country.

-Jack

Hello everyone!

This past week brought us our first potent Autumn storm of the season and while the weather is quiet this weekend, I’d like to take a look back on the forecast to see what went well, what didn’t, and why.

Looking at the NWS Gray preliminary rainfall map, the forecast panned out pretty well for most areas with the dark green areas representing the 1-2″ forecast for most areas with the south sides of the mountains seeing mainly the forecast 2-3″ amounts (yellow/orange colors). The only real bust in the forecast would be the higher amounts along the coastal plain where over 2″ was reported in many areas surpassing the upper limit of the forecast. The main reason for that was unusually high precipitable water values (geek speak for humidity) that led to an atmosphere ripe for heavy rain. That was well forecast in advance of the storm but my reasoning for keeping totals a little lower was that the storm would move out quickly thus keeping rainfall totals low.

Rainfall moved into the Portland area around 6PM which was right on forecast, rain and some isolated mixed precipitation arrived in the mountains earlier, a little ahead of forecast. The rain did not give up as easily as I thought in the morning however with rain being reported in Portland through 11AM. A continuous feed of heavy rain also developed in the morning shifting gradually east along the coast and the 2″+ areas on the map show where this band moved. The slow moving nature of this band is the main reason coastal areas overperformed this time around.

Winds were nearly exactly on forecast with the peak gust at Portland being 48mph with lesser values inland.

A quiet and warm ‘Indian Summer’ type week is ahead with temps in the 50’s and 60’s under mainly sunny skies.

-Jack

Hello everyone! 

Today will feature cloudy skies which will likely drop some sprinkles/light rain showers especially this morning and especially north. Highs will range from the low 40’s north to the mid 50’s south. 

-Jack