I’m a third-year atmospheric science student at Cornell University who has been blogging about the weather since 2011. While I’m not officially a meteorologist, I have accumulated a bit of experience forecasting both local weather (in western Maine and New Hampshire) as well as national/international weather during my time writing for weather.us and weathermodels.com. I also have experience programming in Python, teaching concepts in weather forecasting, and communicating forecast information to general audiences.
A cold front will slide south across the region this morning and its passage will be marked by gusty winds from the Northwest. Expect reasonably chilly highs today ranging from the mid 30’s north to low 50’s south under partly cloudy skies. NW winds could gust over 25mph this afternoon.
Today will be a lot like yesterday but a tad warmer (3-5 degrees or so) and less windy. Highs look to be in the low 50’s south and low 40’s north under sunny skies.
Cool and breezy today, highs will rise into the upper 30’s/low 40’s up north and upper 40’s/low 50’s south with NW winds gusting over 30mph at times. Today’s winds will be the typical upslope/downslope combo with the mountains seeing clouds and some showers/flurries (highest elevations likely pick up 2-4″ of new snow) and the coastal plain seeing sunny conditions.
Winds kick up today behind a departing front that brought last night’s rain. Expect gusts in the 20-30mph range with highest winds at the coast and at elevation. Because of this some isolated power outages are possible but major problems are not expected. Temps will be mild as well today with highs in the mid to upper 50’s along the coast, cooler north. Showers are possible region-wide this afternoon but a washout is not expected.
Rain is on our doorstep again this morning associated with an approaching cold front. Expect cloudy conditions this morning but rain holds off until the afternoon hours arriving west to east during the mid to late afternoon. Temps will be chilly, in the 40’s.
Our next storm is on the doorstep and is currently causing blizzard conditions in Colorado and Tornadoes in Iowa. It will lose much of its might though by the time it arrives here so some rain and breezy winds are likely the extent of the impacts we will see with this one.
Rain is likely to move in tomorrow afternoon from SW to NE and will be light to moderate in nature. Winds will be slightly stronger than normal out of the S/SE but gusts should remain around 20mph. All in all, nothing too big or unusual for November.
Rain clears out Friday and more normal fall temps move in for the weekend with upslope snow showers as well. More above normal temps are expected for much of next week.
Today’s weather will in large part be dictated by location. Southern and coastal areas are in for a pretty dreary day with periods of rain and wind. The farther north you go, however, the more dry air will dominate and cloudy but dry conditions will likely win out. Rain will gradually dry up west to east later this afternoon.
We’re heading back to the 50’s today for highs but this time we will be seeing more clouds as our next storm approaches. All in all, not a perfect day but not a bad one either.
Rain and wind arrive for the coast tomorrow but it won’t be that big a deal. I will likely not have enough time for an evening update with several school functions to attend tonight but the full rain/wind forecast will be up tomorrow morning.
A quick update this evening to keep everyone up to speed on the next chance for inclement weather heading into the middle/later part of this week.
18Z GFS Model Showing Some Of The Key Features In Wednesday’s Storm. Map Credit: Weatherbell, Annotations By Me
The 18Z GFS shows us some of the main players in Wednesday’s storm. While the 18Z GFS usually isn’t that reliable and while I hate to use the GFS in the short term, it offers the most reasonable solution (as well as the Euro which I can’t post). Most other models have a stronger storm which I still have doubts about given the lack of upper level support. Not too complex a storm here, we’re looking at steady moderate rain for a few hours Wednesday morning into early afternoon along the coast with inland showers around the same time inland. Winds will be breezy with gusts in the 20-30 mph range most likely along the coast, lesser but still active winds inland. Rain wraps up by evening as the storm moves offshore.
More rain arrives late in the day Thursday in association with a front moving in from the west.
Updates will stay on the twice a day schedule until the weather returns to its state of calm we’ve grown so accustomed to recently.
We continue our remarkable streak of lovely weather today with sunny skies and highs ranging through the 50’s. Enjoy it while it lasts though because we do have a few wetter days ahead.