A Look At Rain Potential This Week

Hello everyone!

I’m going to start up evening updates on an as-needed basis this week as we have two shots at some rain in the next 5 days.

12Z GFS Model IDEA On How The Wednesday Rain Event Plays Out With Annotations By Me. Map Credit: Weatherbell
12Z GFS Model IDEA On How The Wednesday Rain Event Plays Out With Annotations By Me. Map Credit: Weatherbell

A low pressure system will develop offshore Tuesday and move NE up the coast but before it reaches Cape Cod, it looks to turn east and away from the coast. The upper level pattern is very conducive to this motion and the energy sparking this storm is very weak so it does not look to be a big storm. What is big though is the high pressure center up in northern Quebec/Labrador. A piece of this sprawling high will likely extend down into Maine which will help to create a respectable but certainly not impressive pressure gradient Wednesday which will lead to some gustier than normal winds. For northern areas, expect slightly breezier conditions and mainly cloudy skies but little/no precip. Coastal areas look to see breezy conditions with drizzle/showers likely. All in all, nothing intense but a dreary day nonetheless.

12Z GFS Model Showing The Larger Scale Pattern Heading Into Thursday's Rain Event. Map Credit: Accuweather Wth Annotations By Me.
12Z GFS Model Showing The Larger Scale Pattern Heading Into Thursday’s Rain Event. Map Credit: Accuweather With Annotations By Me.

A new storm will be developing at the same time over the Central US and will drag a cold front towards the region for Thursday evening into Friday. While the current timing is not conducive to any mixed precip, should the storm arrive a little earlier closer to Thursday morning or a little later more towards early Friday morning, the mountains would have to watch for some light icing at the onset. As of now this does not appear to be an issue but it is something to keep an eye on.

This wouldn’t be a bad time to check up on your salt/sand supply as even if this icing event does not materialize, there will be more down the road and now is the perfect time to make sure you’re ready for the winter weather that lies ahead.

Should the current forecast remain unchanged, the rain would occur mainly during the overnight hours Thursday before clearing up Friday morning.

A shot of colder air lurks behind this system for next weekend.

I’ll have another update on tomorrow’s weather tomorrow morning and another update on these rain events this time tomorrow evening.

-Jack

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