Category Archives: Forecasts

Breezy and Unsettled Today

Hello everyone!

Today will feature breezy and unsettled conditions as a strong cold front moves through the area. The day will begin on the warmer side ahead of the front before colder air surges in this afternoon. Look for highs to jump up into the 60s across the mountains/Midcoast and low-mid 70s in southern/western areas.

Skies will start out at least partly sunny for most spots this morning before clouds arrive from the west later in the day. The mountains will be the cloudiest part of the area throughout the day today.

This forecast map is valid at 1 this afternoon and shows a round of rain beginning to move in from the west along a little trough axis ahead of the front. Expect some showers in the mountains during the midday hours thanks to this feature, but unfortunately the steadiest/heaviest rain looks to remain north of the Canadian border.

The real action arrives in the 3-5 PM timeframe when the actual front crosses the region. During this time, we’ll see numerous strong showers develop due to unusual late-season instability and very strong dynamics aloft. Winds will be howling just above our heads, and these showers will provide a pathway for some of that momentum to drop down towards the surface. Don’t be surprised to see some very strong gusts with these showers. The threat for power outages and tree damage is definitely there. Because cold air will arrive aloft before it does at the surface, some of these showers will be capable of producing lightning and hail. Head inside if one moves in your direction!

Quieter weather will return during the evening though westerly winds will remain somewhat gusty as temps drop rapidly into the 40s and 50s.

-Jack

Still Quiet Today

Hello everyone!

Today will feature continued quiet weather as our region remains near the center of a strong area of high pressure yet again. That high will be shifting offshore today, so winds will turn around to the south. This means that maritime stratus and fog are expected again this morning, especially along the Midcoast. Just like yesterday, this cloud layer should gradually burn off by late morning/early afternoon. Sunshine and warmer temps aloft will boost temps into the 60s for most of the region outside the mountains and the Midcoast (50s under the clouds). An approaching disturbance may make a close enough pass to northern Maine to bring a brief shower to the mountains this afternoon, but otherwise dry weather will continue.

-Jack

Cool and Generally Quiet Weather Continues

Hello everyone!

Today will feature another day of seasonably cool and generally quiet weather as high pressure sets up to our northeast. Look for morning stratus and patchy fog to burn off to sunnier skies by this afternoon, especially in the foothills and southern NH. High temps will range from the low 50s up north to around 65 in southern NH. A few scattered showers can’t be ruled out in the mountains this afternoon, but overall dry weather will prevail yet again.

-Jack

Another Generally Quiet Day

Hello everyone!

Today will feature generally quiet weather as a few weak disturbances drift overhead. Skies this morning are generally cloudy up in the north/mountains and generally sunny farther south. That seems to be a good rule of thumb for the rest of the day though lifting valley fog will bring some brighter conditions midday. Just like yesterday, once we get a little daytime heating to interact with our weak disturbances aloft, a few showers are possible especially over the mountains and foothills. Most of us should stay mostly dry though. Temps today will be quite similar to what we saw yesterday and will range from the low/mid 50s up north to the low 60s in the south.

-Jack

Cool and Mostly Dry Today

Hello everyone!

Today will feature cool temps and mostly dry conditions as high pressure slides by to our south. A disturbance will move overhead this afternoon and might have just enough kick behind it to support some scattered showers especially in the mountains. The most likely time for a shower would be this afternoon. A couple sprinkles can’t be ruled out along the coastal plain, but most of us should stay dry. Temps will still be on the cooler side, ranging from around 50 in the north to around 60 along the coast. Skies will feature a mix of sun and clouds with the brightest conditions along the coast and more widespread clouds inland.

-Jack

A Quick Round of Light Rain Today

Hello everyone!

Today will feature cool temps, overcast skies, and a round of light rain as low pressure develops overhead. The best dynamics for rain will occur northwest of the low’s center which means that the mountains are best-positioned for precipitation today. Rain is already ongoing in the mountains this morning (snow is falling on Mount Washington!) and will continue through most of the day. Later this morning, precipitation should make a push towards the coast though amounts will be too light to help much with the drought.

Rain, clouds, and light northerly breezes will keep temps on the cooler side today. Look for highs ranging from 50 up north to around 60 along the coast and in southern NH.

-Jack

Cooler and Drier Today

Hello everyone!

Today will feature cooler temps and drier weather as southwesterly flow continues to bring continental air into the region. A little disturbance will zip through the region this afternoon and may bring a period of cloudier skies, but otherwise we should be mostly sunny across the area. A brief shower can’t be ruled out as that disturbance moves through, but most of us will see yet another dry day today. Our next shot at some beneficial rain will arrive tomorrow.

High temps today will range from 60 in the north to around 70 in the south.

-Jack

Rain and Wind This Morning Give Way to Nicer Weather This Afternoon

Hello everyone!

Today will feature the passage of a strong cold front which means a morning of heavy rain/gusty winds and an afternoon of sunshine/pleasant weather. Rain is ongoing across the region this morning, with the heaviest falling over the mountains and western NH while much lighter rain falls closer to the coastline. That’s pretty much the trend to expect until 8-9 AM when the front itself arrives and brings a round of downpours for everyone. Ahead of and along the front, wind gusts could top 50 mph so scattered power outages are possible. As per CMP, about 7800 folks are without power as of 6:15 AM. That number will continue to increase until winds die down and rain moves out late morning.

Weather conditions will rapidly improve this afternoon as west-southwesterly breezes bring dry air into the region. Expect sunshine to develop quickly around/after noon as dew points slide quickly into the 40s and low 50s. The airmass moving into the region will be a bit cooler, but the cooling effect of the incoming airmass will be roughly offset by the warming effect of the sun so temps will stay steady in the upper 60s to low 70s especially across the coastal plain. Cooler air will work into the mountains more quickly and since upslope clouds will limit the amount of solar heating possible there, temps will be a bit cooler in the mid/upper 50s.

More cool and dry weather is expected tomorrow before our next shot at rain arrives Friday.

-Jack

Another Warm and Humid Day

Hello everyone!

Today will feature continued warm and humid conditions as a tropical airmass continues to flow north into our region from the Gulf of Mexico. Just like yesterday, most of us will start out with low clouds and/or fog before patchy sunshine develops in some inland spots. As you get closer to the coast, your odds of sunshine will decrease. We will see some scattered shower activity develop today, especially this afternoon/evening and especially in NH. Overall though, most of us will stay mostly dry until later tonight when heavy rain begins to move in from the southwest. Rain will be heaviest tomorrow morning as a cold front swings through. We’ll also have to watch out for some gusty winds, though it’s not quite clear if we’ll be able to tap into enough of the strong wind aloft to get concerned about power outages. Right now, I think the concern is relatively minimal.

High temps today will range from the mid 60s along the coastline to the upper 70s or low 80s in central NH.

-Jack

Rain Finally Begins To Return Today

Hello everyone!

The theme of this week’s weather will be much-needed rain as a series of disturbances bring tropical moisture northward into our region and provide a bit of forcing to get that moisture from vapor form into liquid form. Early this morning, most of the area saw a nice burst of heavy rain from a batch of showers moving north. A few spots north of Waterville/Farmington will get these showers in the next hour or so. Then most of the region will remain dry while scattered showers continue moving onshore east of Portland. Even in this area, the whole day won’t be a washout but rain will make an appearance from time to time. It looks like the best chance for rain will be early/mid afternoon.

These showers won’t bust our drought, but there are hints at a more widespread heavy rain event Tuesday-Wednesday that might be able to make some more meaningful progress. Fingers crossed!

Skies today will look fairly similar to yesterday with low clouds and/or fog along the coastal plain while patchy sunshine develops inland. High temps will range from the mid 60s along the Midcoast to near 80 in central/western NH.

-Jack