As the image below shows, another great day in on tap continuing an amazing streak of good weather. However, its not going to last. More on that later…
Our stretch of great weather continues as the Bermuda High is in control of our weather. Things will heat up today as a cold front approaches. However, the passage of the cold front will merely be a reduction of clouds and a change in dew points.
Today will be another beauty! Check out the graphic below for details.
Chief forecaster, NESU
This upcoming week will be a great week in terms of weather. We have sunny skies, mild temps and a storm-free forecast.
Chief forecaster, NESU
Overnight we received the new model run that starts off each day. In this model run, all the models shifted eastward and formed a tighter consensus on track/intensity.
Overnight, TD 11 formed in the Central Atlantic. It is forecast to do a little loop-de-loop then go out to sea. No impacts will be felt here in New England. In fact, before satellites in the 1960’s we probably wouldn’t of known it was there.
Top winds right now are 35mph
The minimum pressure is 1010mb
It is moving Northeast at 9mph
Check our tropical weather resources tab under “Links” above for some sites to get even more information about this storm.
The 12z model run shows great disagreement between models as the ocean storm slated to hit Monday approaches. I’ll start by going over some of the things that are very clear.
-This will not be a significant storm. There is agreement that there will be nothing more than rainy and breezy conditions at the very worst with a much more likely scenario being that the immediate coast gets affected with a band of light rain and breezy conditions.
-Timing. There is solid agreement that the rain, if any, will impact the region late Monday into early Tuesday. Not much disagreement on that front.
However, the models still have no nail down 2 key aspects of the forecast.
-Track. The general consensus it that the storm will come up the coast and move to the SE of the 40N 70W benchmark and then move north or north-northwest towards the Canadian Maritimes.
-Intensity. The strength of the low is also very important. The NAM model has a 990mb low where the GFS has a 1008mb low. This ranges from pretty strong to pretty weak.
What my forecast calls for. I think a storm of weak intensity will track just SE of the benchmark. It will then move N towards the Maritimes. I think that the only impacts will be a band of light rain affecting the coast and light winds also limited to the coast.