Heavy snows spreading across the area now in bands bringing good accumulations piling up very efficiently. On that note I will need to update the snow totals for SW ME to 10-16″ due to a more northerly trend in the latest model run. Also need to say that winds have been picking up and will be peaking shortly. Winds will average 20 mph gusts around 30 out of the NE. Peak winds will be found at the coast.
Stay tuned!
-JAck
A powerful winter storm is preparing to slam the region with heavy snow as well as some wind though the snow will really grab headlines. 8-12″ are expected in Cumberland and York Counties in ME and most of SW NH as well. 3-6″ in northern NH and in ME North to Augusta. 1-3″ in northern ME.
A powerful low will extend a warm front ahead of its move SE under a powerful high. This will bring a good steady snow and efficient accumulation. see other post for more in-depth analysis.
Stay tuned!
-JAck
4:15pm EST Friday 2-24-12
New radar updates filtering in now and the situation is clear. Definite spin with the original low and secondary low forming as well. The low has stalled and so precip will hold off until after dark. Second low will intensify as it moves NE and bring more stable accumulations with dropping temps. Snow will end near dawn Saturday in most areas excluding the mountains where upslope snow showers will continue to crank Saturday
Snow amounts
Coast south of Portland- Coating to 1″
Coast north of Portland – Bath excluding Yarmouth, Freeport and Falmouth 1-3″
5 Miles inland to 20 Miles inland including interior Casco Bay- 3-6″
20 miles inland to mountain zones 4-8″
Mountains- 10-14″
Strong coastal low developing rapidly with cyclogenisis occurring near 40N 70W as the low moves NE.
Updates will continue to flow in as the weather continues to progress.
Jack
3:45 pm EST Thursday 2/23/12: Snow will overspread the region Friday Morning and continue throughout the day peaking at around noon. Temps will hover near freezing or a little bit above throughout the day. Temps will sharply rise in the 500 hour when a warm front comes through. This will cause a change to rain up until maybe 5 miles from the immediate coast. This changeover will persist for an hour or 2 and then cooling takes place after dark returning snow for all. Snow will taper off and end at around 2-3am north to south. Clear skies return with blustery conditions saturday.
Snow will be falling today in NE as a warm front pushes north. The warm front will bring warm air and this will cause a mix at the coast and some light rain tomorrow. After that the forecast really becomes extremely unclear. Models like the idea of a coastal storm developing Friday or Saturday with an extremely large trough digging down through the eastern third of the country. Models have been backing off on that solution however there is a possibility to see a storm develop Monday.
Stay Tuned!
-Jack
Wednesday 5:00: Forecasts have shifted dramatically this past week. Just 1 week ago the forecast was 50 and rain, now it is 33 and snow with freezing rain for Friday. There is some tricky parts in the forecast though. It looks like there will be a strong temperature difference between about 100 yards from the shore where the high will be around 32 or 33 and snow while even 100 yards offshore where highs will be in the upper 30s and rain. Amounts: islands and tips of peninsulas……………1-3″ Coast ( within about 1 mile of the water ) 4-6″ inland 8-12″ and mountains……………..7-9″. More updates in coming hours.
Stay tuned!!!
-Jack
Thursday has been a tricky forecast for the past several days but now the forecast has become more clear. The eventual type of precipitation is still uncertain and will depend on the actual track of the low. But we can eliminate some options. We can eliminate an all rain scenario for NE. Also we can eliminate an even partial snow scenario for the mid atlantic. It will be all rain there.
Stay tuned!!
-Jack
As we track a few flurries tomorrow and a quiet strech ahead, we turn our attention to a storm in the far future. Only as far as Thursday when we are tracking a rainy day for most. More details in upcoming posts as more accurate chart forecasts become avalible.
Stay tuned!
-Jack
Frigid all down the coast especially NE with highs reaching around 20 at the coast and 9 inland and up north. Wind chills will be below 0 everywhere in NE this morning with wind chill values around 20 below in the mountain valleys and at the peaks as well as the far north. Increasing clouds as the day goes on.
Mid Atlantic:
Highs will reach into the 30s as far north as the Maryland-Pennsylvania border with 20s elsewhere. Cloudy in the north and partly cloudy in the south.
Stay tuned!
-JAck
New England:
Cold! Highs around 20 this morning with a gusty NW wing ushering really cold air and keeping wind chills below zero for most of the day today and tomorrow morning. Partly cloudy skies.
Mid Atlantic:
Cold! Highs in the upper 30s in VA, lower 30s for southern New Jersey, Delaware, and Eastern Maryland. Northern New Jersey and NYC can expect highs in the upper 20s to around 30. Partly cloudy skies can be expected.
Stay tuned!
-Jack
Forecasterjack 