I’m a third-year atmospheric science student at Cornell University who has been blogging about the weather since 2011. While I’m not officially a meteorologist, I have accumulated a bit of experience forecasting both local weather (in western Maine and New Hampshire) as well as national/international weather during my time writing for weather.us and weathermodels.com. I also have experience programming in Python, teaching concepts in weather forecasting, and communicating forecast information to general audiences.
Saturday 7:00 am EST: With the snowstorm long past we turn our attention to a VERY cold weekend. Today will not be all that bad with highs in the mid 20s from about Augusta east to Port clyde, west to Montpelier VT south to near NYC. 30s can be expected for the Mid Atlantic region with clear skies overhead. Sunday however is the height of the cold snap with highs in the north and mountains reaching only to around +5 with lows approaching -20 in some mountain valleys. Elsewhere in NE highs in the teens north and 20s south. Mid Atlantic will experience the 20s in the north and 30s south.
UPDATE: 1:45pm EST curent observations show a bout 4″ have already fallen here in Yarmouth with higher totals WSW of here. Another 4-8″ is expected bringing the forecast totals to a little less than a foot at the coast with higher amounts inland and in the mountains. Temperatures will warm to about 31 before dropping. Tonight will feature freezing rain amounting to around .15-.25″ travel will be tricky if not outright dangerous until around 3:00 tomorrow.
Warmer air has come into place this morning and as a result, snow should be limited at the coast while inland areas could receive up to 1′. Coastal areas should expect about anywhere from nothing to about 7-9″ all the way up the coastline. Travel will become tricky at around 8:00 or so when enough snow has fallen that travel should become a little tricky. It is not however the morning commute I am worried about, in the afternoon when a coat of snow, ice, slush, and water has built up I am worried about especially inland areas but the coast too will get slick and dangerous.
Wednesday 5:00: Forecasts have shifted dramatically this past week. Just 1 week ago the forecast was 50 and rain, now it is 33 and snow with freezing rain for Friday. There is some tricky parts in the forecast though. It looks like there will be a strong temperature difference between about 100 yards from the shore where the high will be around 32 or 33 and snow while even 100 yards offshore where highs will be in the upper 30s and rain. Amounts: islands and tips of peninsulas……………1-3″ Coast ( within about 1 mile of the water ) 4-6″ inland 8-12″ and mountains……………..7-9″. More updates in coming hours.
Tuesday 6:00 pm: New updates coming in this evening showing that this storm will bring some welcome relief from the “snow drought” this season. This system will be a classic Nor’easter with a stiff NE wind throughout the day thursday. This NE wind will bring a possible mix at the immediate coast ( Islands and tips of peninsulas ) and southern sections of ME and NH. Early snowfall estimates go as following: Coast………….3-6″
Inland………….4-8″
Mountains………….around 1′
Thursday has been a tricky forecast for the past several days but now the forecast has become more clear. The eventual type of precipitation is still uncertain and will depend on the actual track of the low. But we can eliminate some options. We can eliminate an all rain scenario for NE. Also we can eliminate an even partial snow scenario for the mid atlantic. It will be all rain there.
We are tracking some temperature swings with highs tomorrow in the lower 40s in the south and coast while highs in the upper 30s inland, in the north, and in the mountains. On Wednesday, high temps will reach freezing in most spots with below freezing temps north of Portland-Manchester-Syracuse-Buffalo. Thursday will feature rain anywhere along the 95 corridor. Mix is expected within about a 30 mile radius north and west of 95. snow can be expected north and west of the mix/snow line. The mid atlantic will experience an all rain event.
A quiet start to the workweek with sunny skies and mild temps. Thursday will feature rain moving in with this happening wendsday night for the mid atlantic.
Spotty internet acsess so this will be a quick update. After some NE snow, there will be a warm front moving through tonight bringing temps into the 40s for NE and 50s and 60s in the Mid Atlantic. Clear tomorrow with forecast temps above.
As we track a few flurries tomorrow and a quiet strech ahead, we turn our attention to a storm in the far future. Only as far as Thursday when we are tracking a rainy day for most. More details in upcoming posts as more accurate chart forecasts become avalible.
Forecasterjack 